National Association of Realtors

Commercial real estate activity has suffered from a severe credit crunch for commercial sectors, sustained job losses and weak consumer spending, although the decline appears to be slowing. A forward-looking indicator shows commercial real estate will remain weak into 2010, but recent actions by the Federal Reserve should improve some flow of capital into commercial lending, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Commercial Leading Indicator for Brokerage Activity1 declined 1.3 percent to an index of 101.5 in the second quarter from a downwardly revised reading of 102.8 in the first quarter, and is 13.7 percent below the 117.6 recorded in the second quarter of 2008. The index is at the lowest level since the first quarter of 1994; NAR’s track of the commercial leading indicator dates back to 1990.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, noted the pace of decline moderated, but the leading indicator has fallen sharply and quickly from the peak, suggesting much lower business opportunities for commercial real estate practitioners engaged in leasing, sales and property management. “The reduction in commercial real estate activity is expected at least through the first quarter of 2010. Any meaningful recovery is not likely to occur before the second half of next year.” CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

Existing-home sales in the second quarter showed healthy gains from the first quarter in the vast majority of states, and price declines have increased affordability in most metro areas, according to the latest survey by the National Association of Realtors®.

Total state existing-home sales, including single-family and condo, rose 3.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 4.76 million units in the second quarter from 4.58 million units in the first quarter, but remain 2.9 percent below the 4.90 million-unit pace in the second quarter of 2008.

Thirty-nine states experienced sales increases from the first quarter, and nine states were higher than a year ago; the District of Columbia showed both quarterly and annual rises.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the sales gain appears to be sustainable. “With low interest rates, lower home prices and a first-time buyer tax credit, we’ve been seeing healthy increases in home sales, which are a hopeful sign for the economy,” he said. “There have been sustained sales gains in Arizona, Nevada and Florida, as well as diverse areas such as Maryland, the District of Columbia and Nebraska. More recently, we’ve seen strong double-digit gains in Idaho, Utah, New Mexico, Washington, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Maine, Vermont, Wisconsin, Indiana, South Dakota and Montana.” CONTINUED »

The Auto Club

The following is a statement by National Association of Realtors® President Charles McMillan:

“NAR would like to congratulate and thank Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan and Federal Housing Administration Commissioner Dave Stevens for implementing the FHA–Making Home Affordable Loan Modification Program. This newly enhanced program will help struggling homeowners who qualify to significantly reduce their monthly mortgage payments and keep the home they worked so hard to obtain.

“As Secretary Donovan noted, this is another tool the federal government is providing to help homeowners avoid foreclosures by making mortgage payments more affordable. These changes expand the Obama administration’s Making Home Affordable Loan Modification Program to include FHA borrowers, and Realtors® are optimistic that this will have positive implications for thousands of homeowners.

“Until foreclosures have been significantly reduced and housing inventory reaches a more normal level, there can be no true housing recovery. The FHA–HAMP program will go a long way in achieving these important goals by helping FHA servicers bring mortgages current, buy down loans by up to 30 percent of the unpaid principal balance, and defer these amounts until the first mortgage is paid off. CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

The National Association of Realtors® office building on Capitol Hill was the first newly constructed, green certified building in the District of Columbia, demonstrating NAR’s commitment to environmentally sustainable real estate development.

In testifying today before a House Transportation and Infrastructure Subcommittee, NAR reiterated the significance of its green building and reinforced its support for energy efficiency tax credits, block grants and weatherization assistance investment.

“NAR has taken a number of important steps to raise public awareness about green buildings and their benefits in the marketplace,” said Jim Helsel, NAR treasurer and a Realtor® from Pennsylvania specializing in commercial real estate. Helsel served as chairman of NAR’s Real Property Operations Committee in 2002-03 that oversaw creation and development of the Realtor® building that was certified for Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design and was awarded the Silver LEED rating by the U.S. Green Building Council in 2004 when the building opened. CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

Having a sound and well-functioning real estate sector is critical to our country’s economic growth and development, as well as the growth and sustainability of many small businesses, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

In testimony on Capitol Hill before the House Committee on Small Business, NAR President Charles McMillan noted that the real estate industry supports millions of jobs and services. “By enacting provisions that stabilize America’s real estate markets, you are helping small businesses and America’s communities thrive and prosper,” said McMillan, a Realtor® and broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth.

NAR shared its belief that the 2009 stimulus legislation has proven helpful to small business owners - which includes many Realtors® - most notably by beginning to stabilize the housing market and stimulate the economy. “Along with other tax bills passed in 2007 and 2008, the 2009 stimulus legislation included a number of provisions that are helping the nation recover,” McMillan said. CONTINUED »

Most Americans still consider having enough money for downpayment and closing costs to be the biggest obstacles to buying a home. That’s according to the 2009 National Housing Pulse Survey, an annual survey released today by the National Association of Realtors®.

The survey, which measures how affordable housing issues affect consumers, also found job security concerns to be the highest in seven years of sampling. Two-thirds of Americans think job layoffs and unemployment are a big problem; eight in 10 cite these issues as a barrier to homeownership.

“Homeownership is an investment in your future; however, saving for a downpayment and closing costs is still too great of an obstacle for 82 percent of house hunters looking to take advantage of the current market,” said NAR President Charles McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth. “Monetizing the $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit for downpayment or closing costs on FHA-insured mortgages is a positive first step. Our hope is that the tax credit will be extended and expanded to all home buyers and will help bring stability to the housing market and enable more Americans to achieve the dream of homeownership." CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

The National Association of Realtors® has awarded more than $682,000 to 25 local and state Realtor® associations through its Foreclosure Prevention and Response grant program. The grants help Realtor® boards develop and fund local foreclosure prevention programs.

More than $3 million is available to Realtor® associations through the program to help Realtors®, their clients, and the communities nationwide resolve the growing foreclosure problem. Funds can be used to give consumers foreclosure prevention information and financial counseling; educate and train Realtors® about foreclosure prevention, short sales and auctions; or help Realtors® and their associations form partnerships and get more involved in their communities to address foreclosures and support local neighborhood stabilization efforts.

“Realtors® build communities and as the leading advocate for homeownership and housing issues, we believe that any family that loses its home to foreclosure is one family too many,” NAR President Charles McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth. “Foreclosures affect each community differently, which is why NAR is providing the Foreclosure Prevention and Response grants directly to local and state Realtor® associations – so that they can develop unique, coordinated action plans to prevent foreclosures and minimize their adverse effects on the community.” CONTINUED »

Pending home sales show a sustained uptrend, rising for four consecutive months with very favorable housing affordability and a first-time buyer tax credit boosting activity, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index,1 a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in May, increased 0.1 percent to 90.7 from an upwardly revised reading of 90.6 in April, and is 6.7 percent higher than May 2008 when it was 85.0. The last time there were four consecutive monthly gains was in October 2004.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, cautions that there could be delays in the number of contracts that go to closing. “Closed existing-home sales have improved but are coming in lower than expected because some contracts are delayed or falling through from the application of new appraisal rules for many transactions,” he said. “Rises in contract activity show buyers are becoming more active even as they face much more stringent loan underwriting standards. Speedy clarification of the appraisal rules could smooth a housing market recovery and support the overall economy.” CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

Sales of existing homes showed another gain in May, benefiting from favorable affordability conditions and a first-time buyer tax credit, according to the National Association of Realtors®. May’s increase was the first back-to-back monthly gain since September 2005.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 4.77 million units in May from a downwardly revised level of 4.66 million units in April, but remained 3.6 percent below the 4.95 million-unit pace in May 2008.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, expected an improvement. “Historically low mortgage interest rates clearly drew buyers into the market, and housing remains very affordable even with a recent uptick in rates,” he said. “First-time buyers also are being drawn off the sidelines by the $8,000 tax credit, which is helping to absorb inventory. However, the increase in sales is less than expected because poor appraisals are stalling transactions. Pending home sales indicated much stronger activity, but some contracts are falling through from faulty valuations that keep buyers from getting a loan.” CONTINUED »

A secondary mortgage market model that includes some level of government participation is necessary to ensure affordable and available home mortgages. That is the message the National Association of Realtors® delivered during a House Financial Services Subcommittee hearing today.

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac serve an important role in expanding homeownership and providing a solid foundation for our nation’s housing financial system,” said Realtor® Frances Martinez Myers, who spoke on behalf of NAR. “Unlike private secondary market investors, Fannie and Freddie remain active in housing markets during downturns, using their federal ties to facilitate mortgage finance and support homeownership opportunities for all qualified borrowers.”

By providing capital for mortgage finance during disruptive and down markets, these government-sponsored enterprises are vital to the success of the nation’s housing system. “As the market turmoil reached its peak in late 2008, it became apparent that the role of the GSEs, even in conservatorship, was of utmost importance to the viability of the housing market, as private mortgage capital effectively fled the marketplace,” Martinez Myers said. CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

Record low mortgage interest rates boosted pending home sales for the third consecutive month, with some benefit now from the first-time buyer tax credit, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index,1 a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in April, rose 6.7 percent to 90.3 from a reading of 84.6 in March, and is 3.2 percent above April 2008 when it was 87.5.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said buyers are responding to very favorable market conditions. “Housing affordability conditions have been at historic highs, but now the $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit is beginning to impact the market,” he said. “Since first-time buyers must finalize their purchase by November 30 to get the credit, we expect greater activity in the months ahead, and that should spark more sales by repeat buyers.”

The Pending Home Sales Index in the Northeast shot up 32.6 percent to 78.9 in April and is 0.8 percent above a year ago. In the Midwest the index rose 9.8 percent to 90.4 and is 11.1 percent above April 2008. The index in the South slipped 0.2 percent to 93.0 in April but is 3.5 percent higher than a year ago. In the West the index rose 1.8 percent to 94.8 but is 2.9 percent below April 2008. CONTINUED »

The general economic downturn, complicated by a severe credit crunch in commercial real estate, is dampening commercial real estate activity. In addition, a forward-looking index shows the forecast for commercial real estate sectors will remain weak for the remainder of the year, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said commercial real estate has been hit by a double whammy. “Significant job losses have reduced the demand for commercial space, while a lack of credit has stalled transactions and refinancing activity,” he said. “It is critical for the Federal Reserve to increase liquidity by purchasing commercial mortgage-backed securities. Because commercial real estate always lags an overall economic recovery, it will take some time for the commercial real estate market to rebound.”

The Commercial Leading Indicator for Brokerage Activity1 fell 4.8 percent to an index of 103.5 in the first quarter from a downwardly revised reading of 108.7 in the fourth quarter, and is 12.9 percent below the 118.8 recorded in the first quarter of 2008. NAR’s track of the commercial leading indicator dates back to 1990. CONTINUED »

Smart growth, the impact of military base development, flood and natural disaster insurance, and widespread pine beetle infestation were just a few of the breadth of issues that Realtors® shared during the national town hall meeting at the Land Use, Property Rights and Environment Forum today. The forum was part of the weeklong Realtors® Midyear Legislative Meetings & Trade Expo here this week.

“Land use and environmental issues related to housing and development affect our global community,” said National Association of Realtors® President Charles McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth. “Realtors® care about improving communities and engage public policymakers head-on to address these challenges. Growth patterns, economic development and quality-of-life issues are inextricably linked to the success of communities and their residents.”

The environmental impact on affordable property insurance is top-of-mind for many Realtors® and their clients. Several forum participants reported that insurance companies in various states, including Florida, Louisiana and Minnesota, are imposing mandatory deductibles as a certain percentage of a home’s value. The Realtors® in attendance agreed that the availability and affordability of homeowners insurance affects communities across the country, not just residents in coastal regions or other areas susceptible to natural disasters. CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

Historically high housing affordability and low mortgage interest rates, combined with buyer opportunities in the distressed sales market, have increased home sales in many areas of the country.

“There has never been a better time to buy,” said National Association of Realtors® Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, who presented NAR’s economic outlook today at the Economic Issues and Residential Real Estate Business Trends Forum. Yun commented on a convergence of favorable buying conditions while emphasizing how important it is for home buyers to stay within their budgets.

“Housing affordability is at an all-time high, mortgage rates are historically low, and interest rates are the lowest they’ve been since the days of Eisenhower,” said Yun.

The forum was part of the weeklong Realtors® Midyear Legislative Meetings & Trade Expo. During a national real estate summit here earlier in the week, Shaun Donovan, U.S. Secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development, announced that the Federal Housing Administration is going to permit its lenders to allow qualified home buyers to use the $8,000 tax credit as a downpayment.

“Now that buyers will be able to use the $8,000 tax credit as a downpayment, we should see additional buyers enter the market,” said Yun.

While he doesn’t anticipate an immediate pickup in the coming months, Yun believes early summer will be a critical indicator of how home buyers are responding to the $8,000 tax credit. “The home buying process takes time,” said Yun. “This summer will gauge the success of the first-time home buyer tax credit.”

Evidence of recovery is already demonstrated in California, where home sales are rising much faster than anticipated; some areas in the state are seeing a 70 to 80 percent increase in sales. Yun attributes this extraordinary surge to buyers who may have been sitting on the fence but are now taking advantage of the great opportunities for fear of being left out of current deals in the market.

According to Yun, many first-time buyers are attracted to deeply discounted and distressed home prices. Nationally, about half of all recent transactions have been distressed sales. Fifteen to 20 percent have been short sales and 30 to 35 percent have been foreclosures. Yun says while these statistics are unfortunate the situation along with current home buying incentives have created an impressive window of opportunity for potential home buyers.

“The stimulus and falling inventory levels will help stabilize prices,” said Yun. “My projection is home sales will be 10 to 20 percent higher the second half of this year than last year and we will come out of this recession in 2010.”

The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.2 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

National Association of Realtors

Home buyers must be protected against mortgage lending abuses while being assured of access to affordable mortgages. Toward this end, the National Association of Realtors® today expressed its support of H.R. 1728, the Mortgage Reform and Anti-Predatory Lending Act of 2009.

“Realtors® have a strong stake in preventing abusive lending for many reasons. Beyond the devastating impact on individuals and families, abusive lending erodes confidence in the nation’s housing system, and entire communities are harmed whenever abusive lending strips equity from homeowners,” said NAR President Charles McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth.

As consumer abuse in mortgage lending increased in the earlier part of this decade, Realtors® established a set of “Responsible Lending Principles” in 2005 with the goal of protecting consumers in the housing market. “After years of sharing our Responsible Lending Principles with Congress, NAR is extremely pleased that H.R. 1728, which embodies these principles, is set to be voted on this week,” McMillan said.

In a letter to Congress, NAR expressed strong support for H.R. 1728, including measures to ensure that all mortgage originators act in good faith and that all parties in a real estate transaction are treated honestly. “We ask members of Congress to indicate their support of consumers and the housing market by voting in favor of this important legislation,” said McMillan.

“On behalf of our members and consumers nationwide, NAR is committed to ending abusive and predatory lending practices and will continue to advocate sound, responsible legislation. We urge quick passage of this bill and swift implementation of penalties to those who dare to act dishonestly,” McMillan said.

National Association of Realtors

Existing-home sales eased in March but first-time buyers are responding to low mortgage interest rates and tax credits, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – declined 3.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 4.57 million units in March from a downwardly revised level of 4.71 million in February, and were 7.1 percent lower than the 4.92 million-unit pace in March 2008.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the market appears to be stabilizing with modest monthly ups and downs, and that first-time buyers are driving the market. “The share of lower priced home sales has trended up, indicating a return of many first-time buyers, which we also see in a parallel member survey,” he said. “Sales in the upper price ranges remain stalled because of higher interest rates on jumbo loans.”

Although prices rose from February to March, the national median existing-home price2 for all housing types was $175,200, down 12.4 percent from March 2008. The price increase from February to March was 4.2 percent, which is much higher than the typical 1.8 percent seasonal increase between those two months. Distressed properties, which accounted for just over half of all transactions in March, typically are selling for 20 percent less than traditional homes. CONTINUED »

The Federal Housing Administration is a primary source of mortgage financing for millions of America’s families and plays a key role in helping bring stability to the housing market. This is the message that the National Association of Realtors® delivered to the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee today.

“Without FHA financing, families would be unable to purchase homes and communities would suffer from continued foreclosures and blight,” said Lennox Scott, a member of NAR’s Real Estate Advisory Board and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate in Bellevue, Washington. In his testimony, Scott shared NAR’s belief in the importance of FHA and concern for the safety and soundness of its programs due to its dramatic growth over a short period of time.

“We believe that FHA has done a good job stepping up to today’s market challenges. However, along with the dramatic growth in market share comes greater responsibility and the need for increased infrastructure and staff,” Scott said. Over the past 18 months, FHA has handled an increase in volume four times greater than 2007 levels, increasing its market share to over 30 percent. CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

The combination of vacation- and investment-home sales slipped to 30 percent of all existing- and new-home transactions in 2008, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

However, more than four out of 10 investment buyers and more than three in 10 vacation-home buyers paid cash for their properties, with large percentages indicating that portfolio diversification was a factor in their purchase decision.

The market share of homes purchased for investment was 21 percent last year, unchanged from 2007, while another 9 percent were vacation homes, compared with a 12 percent market share in 2007. The total share of second homes declined from 33 percent of all transactions in 2007. In 2005, the peak year for home speculation, 40 percent of sales were second homes.

NAR’s 2008 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey shows vacation-home sales dropped 30.8 percent to 512,000 last year from 740,000 in 2007, while investment-home sales fell 17.2 percent to 1.12 million in 2008 from 1.35 million in 2007. Primary residence sales declined 13.2 percent to 3.77 million in 2008 from 4.34 million in 2007. CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

Realtors® care about protecting consumers from unfair lending practices and are important allies in those efforts. That is the message National Association of Realtors® President Charles McMillan delivered to the House Financial Services Committee’s Subcommittee on Financial Institutions and Consumer Credit in testimony today.

“As we have seen recently, abusive lending erodes confidence in the nation’s housing system, strips equity from homeowners and damages local and national economies,” said McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth.

In 2005 NAR adopted a set of Responsible Lending Principles to encourage lending practices that ensure consumers have affordable mortgage choices and are protected in the real estate transaction. The principles also call for ensuring strong underwriting, eliminating prepayment penalties, eliminating mortgage flipping, strengthening enforcement against predatory and abusive lending practices, and maintaining the independence of appraisers and the appraisal process. CONTINUED »

National Association of Realtors

As consumers across the country prepare their 2008 tax returns, Real Estate Today is preparing to deliver crucial tax information that may affect the bottom lines of all homeowners, buyers and sellers.

“Congress has passed new tax laws that will help many people who may be struggling in these challenging times,” said National Association of Realtors® President Charles McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth. “As the leading advocate for housing issues, NAR wants to make sure that homeowners, buyers and sellers can make full use of the tax advantages available to them.”

On this weekend’s show, Amy McAnarney, executive director of the Tax Institute at H&R Block, and Kevin McCormally, editorial director at Kiplinger’s, will join Real Estate Today host Gil Gross to address and answer listeners’ questions and concerns about tax issues related to buying, selling and owning a home in today’s economic environment.

Some of the issues they will cover include: CONTINUED »